By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest News Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Latest Opinion Polls - The Result Of A General Election Today The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). The pollster found. YouGov found . A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. Please try different keywords. Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. UK general election polls 2023 | Statista Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Pollster. And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. All Rights Reserved. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Don't miss out! Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. We will not share your email address with any third parties. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife Again, the Scottish sample is even small (103 out of 993 once don't knows are removed) but the survey puts Labour in the lead north of the Border on 40 per cent of the vote. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. . The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. Business & professional services. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Much of the YouGov poll's Labour lead was buoyed by 17% of people who had previously voted for Boris Johnson saying they would now vote for Labour - double that of a week ago. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. Scottish Opinion Polls - Electoral Calculus The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. @BritainElects. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. In response to the Redfield and Wilton poll, Scots Labour peer Lord Foulkes tweeted: "SNP on the slide. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP conducted. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. Question asked. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. @britainelects. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. Easy-to-digest video clips. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov : medium.com. Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon says SNP 'not a divided party' Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. independence? We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. All Rights Reserved. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. All rights reserved. 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Britain Elects. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. State of the Nation. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. 4th October 2022| ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov What has happened to the once-great British Airways? This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Poll: DeSantis surges to 5-point lead over weakened Trump in 2024 Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. Should the public's feeling remain largely down.